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Who Buys in the Missions, by Budget: 318 Sales

Braden Koop Personal Real Estate Corporation · Koop Homes Group · REALTOR® · REMAX KelownaEach office independently owned and operated

In the twelve months to July 2026, nearly a quarter of detached sales across the four Mission neighbourhoods happened under $1 million, and 42% of them landed between $1 million and $1.5 million. Brian Buffini’s 2026 research puts boomers at 42% of buyers and the average first-time buyer at a projected 41 years old. His figures say who is buying; the numbers below say what each budget actually gets you here.

76 of 318Sales under $1M, 12 months
132Sales, $1M to $1.5M
48Sales at $2M or more

Buffini’s mid-year figures had millennials at 26% of buyers, down from 29% a year earlier, with the average first-time buyer’s age climbing from 33 in 2019 to a projected 41 this year. That isn’t a bleak statistic once you look at what it means: buyers are arriving later, and arriving with more behind them. In the Missions, where the pooled detached median is $1,265,000, that matters.

Here is what the local record shows, measured across 318 detached sales in Upper Mission, Kettle Valley, Lower Mission and Crawford Estates in the twelve months to 31 July 2026, from the Interior REALTORS® Matrix system.

The entry point is real, and it is mostly in Lower Mission

Price band Sales Share
Under $1M 76 24%
$1M to $1.5M 132 42%
$1.5M to $2M 62 19%
$2M to $3M 31 10%
$3M and up 17 5%
Interior REALTORS® Matrix, single family detached, Upper Mission, Kettle Valley, Lower Mission and Crawford Estates, 318 sales in the twelve months to 31 July 2026. Pulled 13 August 2026.

Nearly a quarter of everything that changed hands did so under a million dollars. Of those 76 sales, 50 were in Lower Mission, which has the smallest homes of the four across all its sales: a median of 2,451 finished square feet against 3,397 in Upper Mission. If your budget stops short of seven figures, Lower Mission is where the Missions are open to you, and the lakeshore and the rec park come with it.

Upper Mission had 16 sales under $1 million over the same year, and Kettle Valley 9. They exist. They are just not the bulk of either neighbourhood.

The middle band is the market

The $1 million to $1.5 million band took 132 of the 318 sales, more than any other single band and 42% of the whole year. If Buffini’s later, better-funded buyer exists here, this is the band where I’d expect to meet them, because it’s where a first home’s equity reaches in the Missions.

The number that surprises people: across the full year, Upper Mission had the cheapest square footage of the four neighbourhoods at a median of $403 per foot, against $472 in Lower Mission. Bigger house, lower price per foot, higher total price. Choosing between the two is really a choice between size and location, and the per-foot figures make that trade visible instead of leaving it to feel.

The third buyer nobody plans for

Boomers at 42% of buyers is the figure that should reshape a search. That buyer is rarely after the five-bedroom two-storey. My own read, from the homes I show, is that they ask for a main-floor primary bedroom and low upkeep, and the Missions have far more two-storey family homes than single-level ones. If that’s your search, start with the Kelowna rancher homes list rather than filtering a general search by hand.

For a seller, that is the useful half of Buffini’s numbers. If you own a rancher or a walkout rancher in the Missions, the buyer group his research is describing is the one most likely to want it.

How to read this. These are recorded sales over the twelve months to 31 July 2026, not current listings, and the four neighbourhoods are pooled to keep the sample honest. Shares are rounded, so they total 100 with the $1.5M to $2M band at 19.5%. The same window reads as 317 sales in Matrix Stats and 318 in the search grid, a one-sale reporting difference. Crawford Estates contributed 17 sales, enough to describe and not enough to trend. Buffini’s buyer figures are U.S. research: they describe who buys, not what anything costs here. This is market commentary, not financial or investment advice.

What I would do with this

Budget under $1M: look at Lower Mission first, where 50 of the 76 sub-$1M sales happened. One in four Mission sales lands in your range, so this is a real search, not a long shot.

Budget $1M to $1.5M: you are in the deepest part of the market, with the most choice and the most comparable sales to price against. Compare the per-foot numbers before deciding which neighbourhood you want, and see what is currently listed in Upper Mission homes for sale and in Lower Mission homes for sale.

Selling a single-level home: picture the buyer who wants single-level living, and price and present it for that need.

The longer price history for each neighbourhood, month by month, is on my market report.

Find out which band you are really in

Tell me your budget and whether you need one level or two, and I will tell you which of the four neighbourhoods fits and what is available in it.

Tell me what you need

The figures here were put together by Braden Koop Personal Real Estate Corporation from the Association of Interior REALTORS® MLS® System and were current when it was published in September 2026. NOTE: this representation is based in whole or in part on data generated by the Association of Interior REALTORS®, which assume no responsibility for its accuracy. The analysis is mine. I believe the data to be reliable, but it is not guaranteed, and later reporting can change a figure. Treat it as a read on the market, not as advice about a particular home.

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